📣 1/27 Scheduling Email Received Group [EMAILS NOW ARRIVING!]

[snowcatxx87]

So...based on the difference of 36,767 between your 3/21/22 VIN and my late October production VIN, it looks like Ford will have averaged approx 7,350 Mavericks per month between October and March. If they keep that production pace up, Ford should be able to deliver another 37,000-44,000 Mavericks before the end of the summer, for a total MY production of approx 74,000-81,000.

Of course this is assuming supply constraints don't get worse. ...and they maintain the same pace of factory output. ...and your production date of 3/21/22 sticks.

Now the big question is: how many total MY '22 retail (customer) orders will Ford have booked before all orders close today.

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[Bamajim]

Another Thursday and nothing. Congrats to those who got the build email today.
Sure is getting more depressing each week.

 

[FloodingdowninTX]

Congrats to all.
As for myself it's hello darkness my old friend

But we shall never surrender.
We shall wait for the ships, we shall wait at the docks, we shall wait in the streets and in our homes.

 

[Hammey13]

More bad news. I ordered Cyber Orange lariat lux pkg, June 25 from a small dealership in east TN, Clinton. Email from fomoco 1-20-22 st build wk. 3-14,2nd email build date 3-21,3rd email yesterday Ford now has pushed me back to 4-21 now. My 2010 frontier is getting a lot of miles waiting for my new Maverick.

Same - Hot Pepper Hybrid Lariat lux package - ordered 7/23; email build date of 3/14, pushed back to 4/11.. I am hoping not to see a third!

 

[Detroit~made]

Same - Hot Pepper Hybrid Lariat lux package - ordered 7/23; email build date of 3/14, pushed back to 4/11.. I am hoping not to see a third!

Same order date, Ford has the XL Hybrid crowd on the back burner. Glad they actually acknowledge you.

 

[XLTLUXRED]

When a Canadian order is scheduled do we get an email directly or does the dealer get it first?

The hopium in me is thinking maybe this was the Canadian Hybrid build week and we're all just waiting on our dealers to forward emails to us :0)

But i know that is not likely to be the case lol.

My understanding is that Canadian orders don't get the emails. Definitely give a call to your dealer.

 

[srg]

Lots of ecoboosts getting scheduled. My October XL ecoboost order with no options but co-pilot 360 is still not scheduled. Today my dealer told me co-pilot is probably a constraint, but I haven't heard that before.
Anyone know if that is the case? Maybe co-pilot isn't worth keeping...

 

[emkayw]

Lots of ecoboosts getting scheduled. My October XL ecoboost order with no options but co-pilot 360 is still not scheduled. Today my dealer told me co-pilot is probably a constraint, but I haven't heard that before.
Anyone know if that is the case? Maybe co-pilot isn't worth keeping...

Just got an email that the production date of my EB XLT AWD moved up from the week of 3/7 to 2/21. Guess they are cleaning up the EB orders.

 

[Delzona]

Lots of ecoboosts getting scheduled. My October XL ecoboost order with no options but co-pilot 360 is still not scheduled. Today my dealer told me co-pilot is probably a constraint, but I haven't heard that before.
Anyone know if that is the case? Maybe co-pilot isn't worth keeping...

That's the first I've ever heard of the CoPilot being called a constraint. More likely it's down to chip shortages again and the dealer used dealer speak to extrapolate that out to the CoPilot as a constraint.

 

[DHarbaugh]

Another Thursday and nothing. Congrats to those who got the build email today.
Sure is getting more depressing each week.

I got my email 2 weeks ago but I got an email this week moving my build date out from 28 Feb to 4 Apr.

Having an email doesn't necessary mean you'll get your truck any sooner.

 

[Wakeem]

• Email rec'd 11:13 AM Eastern.
• Sched. build week of March 14 2022
• A51 XLT 2.0L Ecoboost AWD Luxury Package
• Finger Lakes region (upstate NY)
• Order placed 16 November 2021; Confirmation email 08DEC21.

I'm sorry to cut ahead of so many others, but excited to get some news! Good luck all.

 

[19redsox67]

Just got an email today that my build was MOVED UP from 3/7 to 2/21.
XLT Eco FWD with LUX package.

 

[Maggot Toe]

Lots of ecoboosts getting scheduled. My October XL ecoboost order with no options but co-pilot 360 is still not scheduled. Today my dealer told me co-pilot is probably a constraint, but I haven't heard that before.
Anyone know if that is the case? Maybe co-pilot isn't worth keeping...

I did not order copilot, can't figure what feature on it is useful if you don't have the lariat luxury. I told my wife I suspected that is why we got scheduled.

 

[davnau]

So...based on the difference of 36,767 between your 3/21/22 VIN and my late October production VIN, it looks like Ford will have averaged approx 7,350 Mavericks per month between October and March. If they keep that production pace up, Ford should be able to deliver another 37,000-44,000 Mavericks before the end of the summer, for a total MY production of approx 74,000-81,000.

Of course this is assuming supply constraints don't get worse. ...and they maintain the same pace of factory output. ...and your production date of 3/21/22 sticks.

Now the big question is: how many total MY '22 retail (customer) orders will Ford have booked before all orders close today.

I've posted most of the following in another part of this forum, but it seems like it really belongs here. It has do mostly with Hybrid production numbers for the 2022 Maverick. I may be off, but I dont think by too much. We'll see as the year progresses. I think the estimate of 74,000-81,000 Mavericks to be produced posted earlier in this thread is right on the money. I'm estimating 75,000 total, with about 30,000 of those Maverick Hybrids, based on what Ford has published so far, and taking into account all the delays. It's a long post, so if you are at all impatient, that's OK, just move on:

I have a basic Maverick XL Hybrid on order with just a few options, all non-constrained. It was ordered with a deposit on June 15, 2021 and I got my email confirmation on June 17, 2021. Mine was the first Maverick for my dealer (near Akron, OH) and it took them a couple days to figure out how to get the order into Ford properly. Got my October email from Ford regarding the Hybrid delays with the promise for the FITS accessories once delivered. Also confirmed my order with Ford Customer Service in August, 2021. Dealer also confirms the wait for scheduling, with a call from them today saying there is an outside chance it may not get scheduled for MY2022. They wanted to know if I wanted to convert to the 2.0EB (since today was last order day), cancel, or go ahead and stick with the order as is. I am sticking with it and told them to let it ride. So, still good so far, just a very long wait. I don't expect to get a production scheduled email until maybe July/August 2022, if then. This dealer has only gotten a handful of 2.0 EB models delivered, and no Hybrids delivered yet.

I've wanted to try to extrapolate production figures for the Maverick for the 2022 model year for a while now, but until the December, 2021 figures were released, I was missing some information to try to do so. It's all but an educated guess based on this latest info, but production and sales of cars have been an interest of mine since the '70s. What can I say, I like numbers.

In looking at production so far, it's looking, to me, that about 75,000 Mavericks will be produced for the now extended 2022 model year. Some relatively small number will be Canada/other non-US trucks. Per a previous posting on this forum, it looks like 2022 Mavericks will be produced until about October 7, 2022 or so, an extension by about two months over what was previously expected. The 2023 Maverick production is now scheduled for week of October 24, 2022. (All subject to change, of course.) SInce Ford has consistently said at best about 40% of production will be Hybrids, that means a split of 30,000 Hybrids and 45,000 2.0 EB drivetrains. To me, that makes sense given all the chip shortages, particularly affecting Ford electrified vehicles, and given what has been produced and sold so far. For example, only 27,140 Mustang Mach-E vehicles were sold in 2021..

Ford had no real incentive to produce a lot Hybrids after the EPA certification delay was announced. It made sense to produce some, so the Hermosillo plant workforce kept up on how to produce them, but for revenue, it made perfect sense to focus on what you could sell and thus book for revenue, which was the 2.0 EB trucks. That's why only 2,165 Maverick Hybrids were sold for 2021, with six for November and the rest for December.

So, assuming all this, I extrapolated, given the 2,165 Hybrids delivered and thus sold in 2021. I expect that for the 12 months from December, 2021 (including the negligible six from November in the December totals) through November, 2022, there will be at best about 2,500 Hybrids sold per month, on average. That adds up to my estimate of 30,000 Hybrid Mavericks and thus 75,000 total Mavericks for the model year. (The other 45,000 will be the 2.0 EB trucks.) I really doubt Ford will hit anywhere near 100,000 total produced, as Ford production has been down about 20% for 2021 where there is a hybrid option (like the Ford Escape and Lincoln Corsair), and the chip shortage is not really expected to start to ease much until late in 2022.

That means, in reality, there have been very few Hybrids delivered so far out of that 30,000, and explains why so many Hybrid trucks are not scheduled for production yet. XLT and Lariat Hybrid trucks will likely continue to get priority for those that are scheduled, to try to maximize profit in these constrained times. Not my favorite of circumstances, but this is consistent with Ford extending the model year to get 2022 orders produced and also Jim Farley's recent comments to the press. (Note: I expect only about 3,000 base-model $19,995 XL Hybrids like mine will be produced for 2022, since overall the XL is only around 10% of production, per both Ford and as reported on this forum. Given there are about 3,000 Ford dealers in the US, and some hybrid trucks will go outside the US, less than one 2022 XL Maverick Hybrid will be delivered per dealer, on average. So, there will be quite a number of dealers who will not see ANY Hybrid XL trucks delivered for 2022.) It's clear to me that Ford really wants to try to keep it's commitment to all those who ordered a truck sight unseen, but is having real trouble doing so. I'm also thinking that Ford cut off the 2022 Hybrid orders in November, 2021 , because it hit my estimated 30,000 order limit, given the expected number of parts to be available for them, and thus means there may well be a number of Hybrid orders from smaller dealers and some from larger dealers that could well roll over to MY 2023. As the order banks were open for the MY 2022 Maverick Hybrid for just over 5 months, that means at least 6,000 Hybrids were ordered per month, on average. This also makes sense to me, since we know per this forum at least, that the order rate up till then was at least 60% or so for Hybrids, not the 40% originally expected, and might be a bit higher. Hybrid orders are thus front-loaded.

On production in general, Ford is having a tough time making enough electrified vehicles. My son has ordered a 2021 PHEV Escape, also in June, 2021. When it was rolled over to the 2022 model year, the order was amended with a new color choice (the original color chosen was no longer available for 2022) and it just recently got scheduled for February 7, 2022 production. (Different dealer than me.) He has also just ordered a 2022 Mustang Mach-E, which may well roll into 2023. He really wants them for his family, but has been stuck waiting, just like so many of us.

So, I'm frustrated I don't have my truck, but at the same time, I get it. As of December 31, 2021, only 2,165 of my estimated 30,000 2022 Hybrid trucks ordered have been delivered, and thus sold. That's just over 7%, so almost 93% are yet to be delivered. Given the trickle of parts, I doubt there will be few months where more than 2,500 Hybrids will be produced, and it will take until early October, 2022 (and likely a bit longer) to get them all produced, Yes, I may be off, but I don't think by too much.

Full disclosure: I am retired from 40 years in IT, and have never worked for Ford or any Ford supplier or dealership. The auto industry and cars in general are a hobby of mine, along with classic recreational boats. My Maverick will be used to tow my three boats, all under 2000 pounds rigged, and I was very excited when Ford formally announced the Maverick on June 8, 2021. In my life so far at my retired age of 69, I have owned 37 cars and trucks, with 13 of them Fords, the rest a variety of makes and models. I am selling a 1997 Toyota Paseo convertible (Toyota Tercel-based) and a 2013 Volvo C70 retractable hardtop convertible (loosely Ford Focus-based) to pay for my Maverick XL Hybrid. (The Volvo C70 was one of those rare convertibles rated to tow 2000 lbs.) Will keep my 1973 Ford Mustang convertible with a 250 six and C4 transmission. (I'm into smooth and quiet, not fast and loud. The Maverick Hybrid is perfect.). In realty, I realize I will be lucky to get it by Labor Day, and maybe not until Thanksgiving, 2022, or even later if rolled to MY 2023.

That's the reality of the production today of any electrified vehicle. Even Teslas can take any number of months, depending on the model, and they have been doing it for over 10 years. (Elon Musk just announced that Cybertruck production is now delayed until calendar 2023.) Ford F-150 Lightning truck production will ramp up slowly and will likely take at 2-3 years to fill all orders placed already. (In all cases, do not confuse reservations with orders. The reservation system is nothing more than a lead generation system for dealers, plus it serves as another way for Ford Marketing to gauge interest in new models.) Mustang Mach-E vehicles will continue to slowly ramp up through 2022-2023, and PHEV Ford Escapes and Lincoln Corsairs will also be in very short supply against demand for a couple of years. I consider myself lucky that I ordered my Maverick when I did, and will be very surprised if I don't eventually see my truck. Yeah, it's a long time, but I need to be patient. At least I'm getting it for the $19,995, plus destination, options, doc fees, and sales tax. About $24,000 out the door, and maybe a little less with my Farm Bureau $500 coupon. A true bargain in my opinion for a quite capable truck in today's crazy world. Are there more capable trucks out there? Of course. But, for a retired guy like me, the key question to answer is this: Is a 2022 Maverick XL Hybrid enough truck, at a great price? For ME, the answer is a resounding YES.

So, I wait, wait, and wait some more.

 

[baldboy]

It seems like hybrids are being pushed back so possibly a part shortage. Maybe this opens up more Ecoboosts to be scheduled.

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