It's not just the worn outness. For instance on my 2022 lariat with the OEM Michelin primacy the after market replacement comes with 0.5 or 1.0 32" more tread which rated for 10 or 15k more miles. Probably with different compound. Weight of the aftermarket replacement primacy is about 3 lbs heavier before any tread wear also. Different tires have different rolling resistance due to tread pattern and compound. Also ambient temp humidity and wind direction and speed can make different mpg. I also have a 2022 XLT which after a recall seems to be getting about - mpg better but no way to tell if it was recall or not but I believe at least half was.i recently replaced the factory continentals with different continentals and noticed this. i assumed it was due to the difference in weight from a worn out tire to one that was molded to a full 12/32" tread.
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