June Maverick Production — 10,000+ Units

[Maverstang]

Only explanation I can think of is the Bronco Sport is generally much more expensive (i.e. more profit) so they are allocating more CP360 parts to the Bronco Sport.

Nope, it’s an issue of market forecasting and product planning. The original CP360 plan, which was determined well before the first unit was built, is 100% for Bronco Sport (standard equipment) and somewhere around 35% option take rate for Maverick (the precise forecast number is in the product ordering guide). And that is what is being built.

It looks like a commodity constraint because some CP360 orders aren’t being built, but it isn’t. It is a monumental forecasting mistake because the actual CP360 option take rate was much, much higher than the forecast. Same for Lux packages. Same for hybrid over EB mix too.

Sometimes suppliers have production wiggle room to increase the quantities over the original contracted amount, but probably not so much these days.

If you removed some of these items you might increase the probability of your ordering being picked, but on the other hand orders with these items are still being built and yours might be one of them. You won’t really know until closer to the end of the product year, so best to just wait it out and see. Worse case, you get a 2023 for the same price.

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[Maverstang]

I'm still boggling how the spray in bed liner is an issue. There's no chips in that. It's basically an epoxy and the holdup for it should be manpower/time for the install/application, I'd think. And with them having to shut down production every other week because they're out of chips... wouldn't it give their staff something to do?

The SIBL is an off line process that takes more time than the vehicle build rate (which is probably 50-60 units per hour). Therefore they factory has to determine and build the number of offline workstations based on the percentage take rate well in advance of building the first unit.

Once again, this is a monumantal forecasting mistake because the SIBL option take rate (Lux packages and stand alone) was much higher than the forecast, and the factory is only able to built to the forecast take rate. Part of this particular issue was relieved by removing SIBL from the XLT Lux package, but it seems the take rate is still a bit higher than production capacity.

As with the CP360 case, your order may or may not get built, so best to wait it out to the end of the product year and see. Worst case it gets rolled over to 2023.

 

[Vangoat]

So, after listening to the @fordvideoguy livestream on YouTube last night, one of the big takeaways is that Ford plans to build more than 10,000 Mavericks in June (April scheduling). So, that's pretty good news, as it indicates a significant increase from current production levels.

Tim also said Ford has told dealers it intends to produce MY22 Mavericks until Oct. 21. So, that means there are still nearly FIVE FULL MONTHS of production to be scheduled. Assuming Ford can meet or exceed its June production quota for the remainder of the model year, you're looking at getting an additional almost 50,000 Mavericks scheduled, on top of all those that have already been scheduled and/or produced.

OK, so that's the GOOD news. Now, for the BAD news — at least for those of us with constrained items. The Lariat Luxury and XLT Luxury packages remain severely constrained, at just 13 percent and 14 percent of available build capacity, respectively. I believe what that means is that Ford can build no more than 13 percent of current Lariat production with the Lux pack and no more than 14 percent of current XLT production with the Lux pack.

So, assuming that situation does not improve, and Ford is building 10,000 Mavericks a month for the remainder of the production year, that means no more than 1,300 of those built each month will be Lariat Luxes, and no more than 1,400 will be XLT luxes. Or, taken as a whole for the remainder of the model year, Ford may only be able to schedule another 6,500 Lariat luxes and another 7,000 XLT luxes. Please tell me @fordvideoguy if I am not explaining this properly, but bottom line is things will definitely be "iffy" for those of us with luxury packages.

If you have a build without luxury or co-pilot 360, I would actually feel pretty confident about getting scheduled during MY22, barring significant additional setbacks in the supply chain.

I ordered on 7/31/21. XLT luxury package. Mine is now in transit.

 

[RicksMaverick]

So, after listening to the @fordvideoguy livestream on YouTube last night, one of the big takeaways is that Ford plans to build more than 10,000 Mavericks in June (April scheduling). So, that's pretty good news, as it indicates a significant increase from current production levels.

Tim also said Ford has told dealers it intends to produce MY22 Mavericks until Oct. 21. So, that means there are still nearly FIVE FULL MONTHS of production to be scheduled. Assuming Ford can meet or exceed its June production quota for the remainder of the model year, you're looking at getting an additional almost 50,000 Mavericks scheduled, on top of all those that have already been scheduled and/or produced.

OK, so that's the GOOD news. Now, for the BAD news — at least for those of us with constrained items. The Lariat Luxury and XLT Luxury packages remain severely constrained, at just 13 percent and 14 percent of available build capacity, respectively. I believe what that means is that Ford can build no more than 13 percent of current Lariat production with the Lux pack and no more than 14 percent of current XLT production with the Lux pack.

So, assuming that situation does not improve, and Ford is building 10,000 Mavericks a month for the remainder of the production year, that means no more than 1,300 of those built each month will be Lariat Luxes, and no more than 1,400 will be XLT luxes. Or, taken as a whole for the remainder of the model year, Ford may only be able to schedule another 6,500 Lariat luxes and another 7,000 XLT luxes. Please tell me @fordvideoguy if I am not explaining this properly, but bottom line is things will definitely be "iffy" for those of us with luxury packages.

If you have a build without luxury or co-pilot 360, I would actually feel pretty confident about getting scheduled during MY22, barring significant additional setbacks in the supply chain.

Glad I got my RAPID RED, LARIAT LUX, 1ST ED, COPILOT36O, 4K, AWD IN DECEMBER! But I ordered 6/16/21 order

So, after listening to the @fordvideoguy livestream on YouTube last night, one of the big takeaways is that Ford plans to build more than 10,000 Mavericks in June (April scheduling). So, that's pretty good news, as it indicates a significant increase from current production levels.

Tim also said Ford has told dealers it intends to produce MY22 Mavericks until Oct. 21. So, that means there are still nearly FIVE FULL MONTHS of production to be scheduled. Assuming Ford can meet or exceed its June production quota for the remainder of the model year, you're looking at getting an additional almost 50,000 Mavericks scheduled, on top of all those that have already been scheduled and/or produced.

OK, so that's the GOOD news. Now, for the BAD news — at least for those of us with constrained items. The Lariat Luxury and XLT Luxury packages remain severely constrained, at just 13 percent and 14 percent of available build capacity, respectively. I believe what that means is that Ford can build no more than 13 percent of current Lariat production with the Lux pack and no more than 14 percent of current XLT production with the Lux pack.

So, assuming that situation does not improve, and Ford is building 10,000 Mavericks a month for the remainder of the production year, that means no more than 1,300 of those built each month will be Lariat Luxes, and no more than 1,400 will be XLT luxes. Or, taken as a whole for the remainder of the model year, Ford may only be able to schedule another 6,500 Lariat luxes and another 7,000 XLT luxes. Please tell me @fordvideoguy if I am not explaining this properly, but bottom line is things will definitely be "iffy" for those of us with luxury packages.

If you have a build without luxury or co-pilot 360, I would actually feel pretty confident about getting scheduled during MY22, barring significant additional setbacks in the supply chain.

I'm glad I got my RAPID RED, LARIAT LUX, 1ST EDITION, COPILOT360, AWD,2.0 EB in December. But I did order 6/16/21 was order# 0617.

 

[Aerohead]

Don’t give up the Lux packages! They are what makes this practical little truck such a good value.
Has anyone”built” a big Bronco, to get a heated steering wheel you need to spend like 60k, it’s crazy!

Pssst, keep it down. The more people that drop out the sooner we get our Lux Mav’s.

 

[DJF]

I ordered mine in early Oct (after my first dealer "forgot" to submit my order in Aug) and they already told me Lariat Lux is probably going to be pushed to 2023. So I'm in a holding pattern to see if I squeak into MY22 or not. If not then I'll decide.

I've pretty much lost hope of mine being built as a 22. Just in case, I'll leave my $1000 with the dealer until I officially hear that it will get pushed to 23. But, I will not reorder as that will reset the clock with my crappy, no allocation dealer, and I'll be here a year from now waiting and hoping my 23 won't get pushed to 24.

 

[Gghost]

Very good summary. I'm in the same boat (order details in signature), and although very thankful for @fordvideoguy giving us all that info last night, I am a bit more pessimistic I'll get mine as a MY22 because of the supply chain/constraint issues.

On the flip side, I definitely want all the stuff I ordered, so I'll wait. If I get a MY23 instead, perhaps it'll have some neat additions like a split rear seat or other colors or who knows what. At the very least they'll have worked out some of the first model year kinks with software patches by then.

I truly think Ford needs to send all of us who ordered and waited for our trucks gold dashboard metals so our trucks can stand out from the rest as a symbol of grace on our part.

 

[JAB]

I stopped at my dealer yesterday and spoke to the inventory manager.

I have an order in for an XLT Lux with Fx4 and tow package.

I was told the same thing as last month. Still unscheduled, multiple constraints due luxury package. I have been told twice now that I will probably not get a MY22 unless I drop the lux package. He did say that bed cleats in the lux are constrained.

The dealership has opted in for missing item delivery, so I am hoping that @Ford Motor Company will build my Maverick and ship me any missing cleats or other lux pack modules later. This seems to be my only chance at a MY22.

I would rather get my truck now and put the lux pack items in as they become available. I am not going to wait a year and a half by the time they get around to building and delivering MY23 lux pack trucks.

I ordered My 22 Marvick August 11,2021
Dealer tells me they will call when truck has arrive. No need to keep checking on Marvick. Once a month isn't to much or am I wrong

 

[24forsure]

The Maverick I ordered has all the constrained items...XLT luxury package, CoPilot 360, ect.
I will not drop those items. I'm willing to wait it out...I now plan on selling the damn thing once I get it....if I ever get it....10 months and counting since ordered.

Just curious, who did you order from? I’m also in Greenville, and ordered in January from Vic Bailey in Spartanburg. Didn‘t order any extras, but still no build date yet. Thanks!

 

[Timothyd]

So, after listening to the @fordvideoguy livestream on YouTube last night, one of the big takeaways is that Ford plans to build more than 10,000 Mavericks in June (April scheduling). So, that's pretty good news, as it indicates a significant increase from current production levels.

Tim also said Ford has told dealers it intends to produce MY22 Mavericks until Oct. 21. So, that means there are still nearly FIVE FULL MONTHS of production to be scheduled. Assuming Ford can meet or exceed its June production quota for the remainder of the model year, you're looking at getting an additional almost 50,000 Mavericks scheduled, on top of all those that have already been scheduled and/or produced.

OK, so that's the GOOD news. Now, for the BAD news — at least for those of us with constrained items. The Lariat Luxury and XLT Luxury packages remain severely constrained, at just 13 percent and 14 percent of available build capacity, respectively. I believe what that means is that Ford can build no more than 13 percent of current Lariat production with the Lux pack and no more than 14 percent of current XLT production with the Lux pack.

So, assuming that situation does not improve, and Ford is building 10,000 Mavericks a month for the remainder of the production year, that means no more than 1,300 of those built each month will be Lariat Luxes, and no more than 1,400 will be XLT luxes. Or, taken as a whole for the remainder of the model year, Ford may only be able to schedule another 6,500 Lariat luxes and another 7,000 XLT luxes. Please tell me @fordvideoguy if I am not explaining this properly, but bottom line is things will definitely be "iffy" for those of us with luxury packages.

If you have a build without luxury or co-pilot 360, I would actually feel pretty confident about getting scheduled during MY22, barring significant additional setbacks in the supply chain.

Wish I knew where I sit in the que.

 

[theway-yay-ting]

I'm still seeing orders with both of those packages still being delayed. I think the biggest one is the luxury package since it is constrained to 13% whereas the copilot is constrained to somewhere in the 30% range.

@fordvideoguy can you clear up some confusion for me regarding the constraint percentages? For instance, if XLT Lux is constrained at 14%, does that mean:
a) Ford forecasts it can only build 14% of the current outstanding XLT Lux orders, or
b) Ford forecasts it can only build 14% of all builds as XLT Lux

In other words, let's say (as in @pa-outdoorsman 's earlier post) that Ford is building 10k per month. In option a above, let's say there are still 20000 unscheduled XLT Lux orders; is Ford saying that only 14% of these (3500) can be built? Or, if it's option b above, Ford estimates it can build 1400 XLT Lux each month, for a 5-month total of 7000 XLT Lux packages for the rest of the year?

 

[fordvideoguy]

@fordvideoguy can you clear up some confusion for me regarding the constraint percentages? For instance, if XLT Lux is constrained at 14%, does that mean:
a) Ford forecasts it can only build 14% of the current outstanding XLT Lux orders, or
b) Ford forecasts it can only build 14% of all builds as XLT Lux

In other words, let's say (as in @pa-outdoorsman 's earlier post) that Ford is building 10k per month. In option a above, let's say there are still 20000 unscheduled XLT Lux orders; is Ford saying that only 14% of these (3500) can be built? Or, if it's option b above, Ford estimates it can build 1400 XLT Lux each month, for a 5-month total of 7000 XLT Lux packages for the rest of the year?

Yes 13% of all Mavericks

 

[theway-yay-ting]

Yes 13% of all Mavericks

Thanks, Tim! That's actually more encouraging, as 13% of all Mavs would be a bigger number than 13% of the existing XLT Lux orders. Still probably too small a number for me to get mine.

Now if we only knew how many total unscheduled Mavs there were, and how many have the various constrained items...

 

[JohnHartshorn]

I'm still boggling how the spray in bed liner is an issue. There's no chips in that. It's basically an epoxy and the holdup for it should be manpower/time for the install/application, I'd think. And with them having to shut down production every other week because they're out of chips... wouldn't it give their staff something to do?

Heated seats, etc make more sense because we've been hearing for a year how hard up for those chips all the dealers are.

Honestly if I'm not at least scheduled for prod by June (Meaning, what, August/Sept delivery?) I'm going to just start to hope an all electric version is announced before I'm scheduled and I can switch my order to that.

In the end, I'm still not sure I'm ever getting my truck. I just preordered when I placed my order. No signed contract/bill of sale that prevents my dealer from being a POS and jacking my price up to try and get another piece of inventory to sell. Have to wait and see. Haven't seen my dealer mentioned before here, so no hints as to if I'll be one of the lucky ones whose dealer honors their agreements or not.

The SIBL is an off line process that takes more time than the vehicle build rate (which is probably 50-60 units per hour). Therefore they factory has to determine and build the number of offline workstations based on the percentage take rate well in advance of building the first unit.

Once again, this is a monumantal forecasting mistake because the SIBL option take rate (Lux packages and stand alone) was much higher than the forecast, and the factory is only able to built to the forecast take rate. Part of this particular issue was relieved by removing SIBL from the XLT Lux package, but it seems the take rate is still a bit higher than production capacity.

As with the CP360 case, your order may or may not get built, so best to wait it out to the end of the product year and see. Worst case it gets rolled over to 2023.

I would still like to know why Ford absolutely refuses to remove the SIBL from the Lux package and offer a credit (Current stand-alone price is $495). I would rather get my truck now and do that after-market, then think my July 6 order is waiting because the 3rd party they contracted with to do the SIBL can't handle the load.

 

[fordvideoguy]

Thanks, Tim! That's actually more encouraging, as 13% of all Mavs would be a bigger number than 13% of the existing XLT Lux orders. Still probably too small a number for me to get mine.

Now if we only knew how many total unscheduled Mavs there were, and how many have the various constrained items...

We are down to 265 after today. 50 are fleet orders.

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