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NJ Pinelands

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Called Ford this morning to check on status of my October 30 hybrid xl. The girl I spoke with was very polite, but same old “still in production.” She did tell me she has been seeing hybrids with mid-October 2021 order dates getting build dates.
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projectvortex

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The rub is they do not break out eco boost and hybrid numbers. Do not recall hybrids being more than 50% of production and will guess the is under 50k for those numbers. Assume 100k is the total orders with 60% hybrids, then about 10k of hybrids will either be bumped to MY23 or the hybrid mix will go up.
I think hybrids have been closer to 40% if memory serves.
 

theway-yay-ting

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Getting closer to knowing how many orders they actually have for the Mav. 43,000 produced YTD plus 20,000 last year (guess and probably high) = 63,000 so say 60-70,000 produced (and essentially sold) in big round numbers. June, July, August, September to go. If they average 6000, or 7000, or 8000 per month you can do the math. Should be 90,000-100,000 2022 MY trucks built (and sold). Not bad for a constrained "year". They could have built and sold 200,000.
They're not going to average 7k-8k per month, as they previously stated they were targeting 2800 for the month of July. They won't likely produce the 10k they targeted for June (as reported here, many June build dates have already received word of delays), but even if they do, the Jun-Jul average would be 6400.

Your 90k-100k number is still likely accurate, as the current highest VIN (scheduled for mid-Jul build) is 88,0xx.
 

snowcatxx87

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IT sure looks like the Maverick sales canalized the Ranger sales. The combined Maverick and Ranger sales aren't as great this year as the Ranger sales were last year. I wonder if Ford is worried about this?
Nothing to worry about. This always happens end of cycle, new ranger is released, people will wait for the new one. Par for the course.
 

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IT sure looks like the Maverick sales canalized the Ranger sales. The combined Maverick and Ranger sales aren't as great this year as the Ranger sales were last year. I wonder if Ford is worried about this?
IMO, very few people that don't already like and own current Ranger want to buy one. I don't think declining Ranger sales has anything to do with Maverick. It's more about people preferring Canyon, Colorado, new Frontier and even current Tacoma in mid-size class over this outdated Ranger. I'm very curious about the NEW Ranger and will check it out when released same as I did with Maverick, but still buying the Maverick instead of any other mid size.
 

Old Ranchero

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They're not going to average 7k-8k per month, as they previously stated they were targeting 2800 for the month of July. They won't likely produce the 10k they targeted for June (as reported here, many June build dates have already received word of delays), but even if they do, the Jun-Jul average would be 6400.

Your 90k-100k number is still likely accurate, as the current highest VIN (scheduled for mid-Jul build) is 88,0xx.
No reason they can't exceed 10k any given month if the needed materials are on hand. I believe July is a deliberate slow down and outlier month as they await delivery of many back ordered parts, then will make a big push to complete as many remaining orders as possible by production cut off. Building 30k more Mavericks for MY2022 should be easily achievable.
 

theway-yay-ting

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No reason they can't exceed 10k any given month if the needed materials are on hand.
On this, we agree. But the overarching issue is still materials availability (combined with potential cannibalization of some of the scarce materials for higher profit margin vehicles).

Ford will very likely surpass the 100k builds mark for MY22, but I suspect the final 10k or so will be dealer stock due to parts constraints for many of the remaining orders.
 

theway-yay-ting

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Maverick May 2022 Sales Highlights

  • Maverick Production: 7,842 vehicles. Production (YTD): 43,533 vehicles.
    • May production represents a 14.5% decrease from April 2022.
@Administrator - where did the Production numbers come from - not seeing them on the chart?
 

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They're not going to average 7k-8k per month, as they previously stated they were targeting 2800 for the month of July. They won't likely produce the 10k they targeted for June (as reported here, many June build dates have already received word of delays), but even if they do, the Jun-Jul average would be 6400.

Your 90k-100k number is still likely accurate, as the current highest VIN (scheduled for mid-Jul build) is 88,0xx.
Yeah. Just ballparking it. My recent VIN for late July is 86xxx (XL hybrid cp360)
 
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dale

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Because my June 10th order was only just built 3 days ago. You should be next. Then everyone else that ordered after August will be in serious danger of getting rolled over to a 2023. I predict within the next 45 days, Ford finally let's people know who is getting rolled over. It's going to be a LOT. But at this point, if you don't get a scheduling notice by the end of this month, I'd rather be in front of the line for a 2023 anyway. Having to pay full MSRP after waiting over a year for a truck arriving at the very end of the model year is bullshit. 3+ years ago there'd be a huge discount on most vehicles bought in the fall to make way for the new model year.
My June 10th order has moved 5 times and is now scheduled for June 13th. I just hope its 2022 and not 2023. First date was May 16th no window sticker. Vin is 688##. Hybrid, Rapid Red, First Edition
 
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Mite-o-Dan

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My June 10th order has moved 5 times and is now scheduled for June 13th. I just hope its 2022 and not 2023.
When did you get a production email or window sticker? I got mine a month ago.
 

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to me, I think it's less important what month you ordered than the total number remaining they can realistically build before production year ends. I'm optomistic they will get nearly all remaining orders built this year, with exception of a FEW lacking parts to build them.
They made just under 8000 again. I don't think they've hit 70,000 total yet. Next 4 months, MAYBE 30,000 more built for a total of 100,000 for 2022 Mavericks. Do you honestly think that's ALL that were ordered by customers, fleet, orders, and some for dealer lots? 100k of a popular truck is nothing. Hell, Ford said thay had 100k reservations by the end of last August. I know not all go through are all kept...but a whole lot more were still reserved after that.
 

theway-yay-ting

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They made just under 8000 again. I don't think they've hit 70,000 total yet. Next 4 months, MAYBE 30,000 more built for a total of 100,000 for 2022 Mavericks. Do you honestly think that's ALL that were ordered by customers, fleet, orders, and some for dealer lots? 100k of a popular truck is nothing. Hell, Ford said thay had 100k reservations by the end of last August. I know not all go through are all kept...but a whole lot more were still reserved after that.
Ford Maverick 📈 Maverick May 2022 Sales: 6,089 Sold / 7,842 Produced 1654191777320
 

Bobinmi

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Because my June 10th order was only just built 3 days ago. You should be next. Then everyone else that ordered after August will be in serious danger of getting rolled over to a 2023. I predict within the next 45 days, Ford finally let's people know who is getting rolled over. It's going to be a LOT. But at this point, if you don't get a scheduling notice by the end of this month, I'd rather be in front of the line for a 2023 anyway. Having to pay full MSRP after waiting over a year for a truck arriving at the very end of the model year is bullshit. 3+ years ago there'd be a huge discount on most vehicles bought in the fall to make way for the new model year.
yeah...well THIS isn't 3+ years ago.... 3+ years ago it was a BUYERS market....NOW it is a SELLERS market. Simple supply/demand.
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