POLL: Were you scheduled day 1?

[gte105u]

So some good numbers here to go from. My hypothesis of the build percentage being high earlier was right, dropped a couple points.

I estimate that the number scheduled is probably 15%+- 3%. Assuming the 86k number of orders is right, that is about 13k. Seems aggressive by Ford. They may mean it's closer to 12%.

If you assume they schedule about the same amount every month, that would mean building out in 7-8 months. That supports the hypothesis some had that they are trying to get back to summer model year transitions.

All just my guesses based upon the data.

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[commadorebob]

So some good numbers here to go from. My hypothesis of the build percentage being high earlier was right, dropped a couple points.

I estimate that the number scheduled is probably 15%+- 3%. Assuming the 86k number of orders is right, that is about 13k. Seems aggressive by Ford. They may mean it's closer to 12%.

If you assume they schedule about the same amount every month, that would mean building out in 7-8 months. That supports the hypothesis some had that they are trying to get back to summer model year transitions.

All just my guesses based upon the data.

The 12% may be the truth. We only make up 0.2% of all orders so even one or two people getting selected or skipped will throw the percentages off.

 

[gte105u]

The 12% may be the truth. We only make up 0.2% of all orders so even one or two people getting selected or skipped will throw the percentages off.

As the numbers voted go up, the overall percentage of yes is changing very slightly. To me this means that we are in the right realm at 15% (as of 231 votes it's 15.6%).

I gave a wide margin of error (3%+- so 6% overall) due to the small comparative sample size. But it is a random sampling since there is no reason to assume people on this forum will get selected over or less than others.

I think the sampling may be skewed to the yes more, because after getting scheduled they may be more likely to visit the site and post. Hence why the 15% could be more likely high than low. It also makes logical sense as 10k has been closer to average output than 12k.

But these are all just guesses bases upon logic and trends...

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