How's your crystal ball? Predict my delivery date

[ermedpa]

OK, folks since Ford has shut down for Christmas, I thought this would be a good time to play a game. Sept 16, I ordered a White XLT AWD, lux, 4K tow, FX4, drop in bedliner, full size spare, block heater, in western Arkansas, one of the larger dealers in the area. This is supposed to be a surprise anniversary present for my wife (30 years, holy cow!). Anniversary is April 9th. Care to give odds on my being able to hand her the keys that day vs just a sales brochure saying 'Its coming, I think"? NOT currently scheduled. Let's do it percentages. "30%", "90%", etc. I have a number in my head, and curious to see what ya'll think.

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[SkeeterB]

75%, but I'm also praying I'm wrong and she gets the keys.

 

[The Weatherman]

50/50.

How’s that for commitment?

 

[Newfrontporch]

65/35. Good luck!

 

[IdahoDirtFarmer]

I was gonna say 50-50, but I hope much better than that, for both our sakes.

 

[ermedpa]

I was gonna say 50-50, but I hope much better than that, for both our sakes.

Idaho dirt farmer, My wife is from Idaho (the reason for the block heater addition in Arkansas). For a second I thought one of her family was on the forum and I almost freaked out!

 

[Chicolini]

You were an early order, so your odds should be very, very good. Only the dreaded dealer allocation can stop you now.

I misunderestimate a 65% chance of success by April 9.

Congratulations on your 30 years of marriage!

 

[IdahoDirtFarmer]

Idaho dirt farmer, My wife is from Idaho (the reason for the block heater addition in Arkansas). For a second I thought one of her family was on the forum and I almost freaked out!

Now that's funny. Small world's and all that. Unfortunately I doubt we're related unless distantly. My family isn't very big. Both parents were only children so not even aunts, uncles, or cousins for me. Where abouts in Idaho is your wife from? I'm in the Southwest corner about 40 miles West of Boise.

 

[Godzilla]

Now that's funny. Small world's and all that. Unfortunately I doubt we're related unless distantly. My family isn't very big. Both parents were only children so not even aunts, uncles, or cousins for me. Where abouts in Idaho is your wife from? I'm in the Southwest corner about 40 miles West of Boise.

OK, folks since Ford has shut down for Christmas, I thought this would be a good time to play a game. Sept 16, I ordered a White XLT AWD, lux, 4K tow, FX4, drop in bedliner, full size spare, block heater, in western Arkansas, one of the larger dealers in the area. This is supposed to be a surprise anniversary present for my wife (30 years, holy cow!). Anniversary is April 9th. Care to give odds on my being able to hand her the keys that day vs just a sales brochure saying 'Its coming, I think"? NOT currently scheduled. Let's do it percentages. "30%", "90%", etc. I have a number in my head, and curious to see what ya'll think.

99% sure that she will get her keys before I get mine!

 

[ermedpa]

Now that's funny. Small world's and all that. Unfortunately I doubt we're related unless distantly. My family isn't very big. Both parents were only children so not even aunts, uncles, or cousins for me. Where abouts in Idaho is your wife from? I'm in the Southwest corner about 40 miles West of Boise.

They live just outside of St. Anthony (between Rexburg and Idaho Falls)

 

[1929]

At your dealer - How many Maverick delivered in 2022, how many orders for 2023, how many allocations for 2023 as of present?

 

[MiMav]

25%. I have the same order date with close to the same order. My guess is:
25% April
50% May
25% June

 

[IdahoDirtFarmer]

They live just outside of St. Anthony (between Rexburg and Idaho Falls)

Not a bad area. Been through there a couple times. Definitely prefer this side of the state though.

 

[RR - All the way]

Let's get past the percentages. I am FOOLishy predicting your wife's Mav will be ready for pick-up on April 1st!! I presume your dealer will be able to do the paperwork on a Saturday?? What an April fool's surprise this could be!!!

 

[ermedpa]

Most of ya'll have better percentage predictions that me. While we all know it doesn't change outcomes, it does make me feel a lot better. Merry Christmas to all of y'all!

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