Poll: Unfilled 2022 orders status, Hybrid vs Ecoboost.

[Greg_in_GA]

I am curious about what percentage of the 2022 orders that did not get filled yet were hybrids or ecoboosts. If you have a 2022 order that has not been received yet please answer the following question.

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[Greg_in_GA]

So far there have only be 19 responses which was a lot less than I was expecting. It is hard to draw any conclusions with so little data but there are a few interesting things that we might be able to speculate about with this information.

Sometimes the needed clue is that "the dog did not bark" and the fact there there were not a hundred or more responses could be significant.

1) There have also been a lot of "My truck finally arrived." posts recently so maybe the number of 2022 orders that will not be filled is not huge, or a lot of people who had unfilled 2022 orders did not enter a new 2023 order and are no longer following this forum since they have either bought something else or have given up on getting a Maverick.

2) The majority of people with an unfilled 2022 order who responded are expecting to get one. With shipping taking around a month and about a month of 2022 production left that could mean that the rolled over 2022 order could be well less than two months production.

3) Of the converted orders there were more Ecobosts than Hybrids. That surprised me since I was expecting most of the converted orders to be hybrids. That could hint that there are other constraints that caused them not to be built.

That could imply that when the 2023 production starts that even if the rolled over orders have priority the constrained parts may not be there to build them the week of 11/14. If this is true then significant production of new 2023 orders with few or no constraints could start in November just because they still do not have the parts to build many the rolled over 2022 orders.

With so little data it may be grasping at straws to come up with those speculations so I would take those with a huge grain of salt.

 

[Maverstang]

Hard to know without the data Ford will never give us, but here’s a thought:

The total MY22 build is/was about 120k units. Fleet and stock orders were unusually low, probably around 20%, leaving around 96k retail orders. Feedback from some of the major online dealers participating here consistently suggests that around 20% of their 2022 retail orders were not filled and had to be rolled over, about 19k if applied nationally. Assuming some walk-always plus the well documented dealer COVP screwups, I’d guess the real rollover number is closer to 15k.

So assuming the return to the allocation system and some dealer priority games don‘t mess it up, most rollovers should get built because the major commodity mix items are greater than 15%.

But don’t underestimate Ford‘s ability to make the whole thing go pear shaped due to some other opaque reasons which we will never understand.

 

[skadizzle]

I just added to it. I completely missed the poll yesterday as probably a lot of others.

I have two 22 orders. One is scheduled to be built at the end of October, the other is a rollover. Both hybrids.

 

[MLowe05]

I ordered 2. It only lets me vote once but I had a hybrid get built and shipped and the second one I had to convert to a 23.

 

[martyi48]

A June 2021 order for a Lariat has been shipped and is supposed to arrive at Dealership Oct. 6. I'll believe it when I see it and even then, the dealer will try to screw me. We shall see what happens but I doubt I will ever get this truck.

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