Ford will schedule builds through Aug 4th for actual builds based on present and potential constraints and with a target of Oct 21 for the last 22MY production. I am not sure getting a VIN on or before Aug 4th guarantees your vehicle will be a 22MY. If more serious unforeseen constraints arise, build dates will be moved back; eventually the date will hit the Oct 21 deadline. If they do not have parts to build them, they can't!! Two things can happen: If there are a lot of builds with VINs scheduled that they cannot move back any further, Ford can move back the date of initiation of MY23 builds or, if the number of 22MY builds is small Ford will issue you a new vin with the appropriate letter for 23MY. Moving back the date of build start-up for 23MYs would allow Ford to build a bunch of MY22 stock orders to make the dealers happy. My $2 worth!! Inflation has taken away the two cents worth comment.
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