You got that right. BTW: inflation is actually a tax due to the printing of more money, which the government spends. With talk of hiking corporate tax, which is passed onto the consumer in the way of higher prices, you really have significant unknown variables in any projection: supply, demand and inflation. At the end of the day the projections such as you site, are really only good at comparing one vehicle to another.Most states have tax incentives for trades, courtesy of NADA + lobbying + corrupt state politicians. So that trade on a new vehicle, where your trade is $30,000 or so, is incentivized by the state at around $1,800 in a typical 6% state tax environment.
In other words, if you private sale and make $1,500 more and are patting yourself on the back, you will get to slap yourself in the face when you realize you get to pay $1,800 in extra taxes upon purchasing your new Maverick. OTOH, if you make $3,000 more, then you can pat yourself on the back extra hard - as long as the buyer doesn't con or sue or harass you.
There are several existing threads on MTC about expected trade values for the Maverick. The latest professional projections I saw (just last week - sorry, can't remember the link) were something like 50% depreciation over 5 years. Which is actually pretty darn good for a Ford. You gotta be careful about methodology though - make sure they adjust for inflation.
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